美國海軍迫切希望縮小與中國的差距。日本或韓國能拯救美國造船廠嗎?
US Navy is desperate to close the gap with China. Can Japan or Korea save US shipyards?譯文簡介
美國海軍官員正在競相縮小與中國——世界上最大的造船國和現(xiàn)在最大的海軍——的差距,并希望日本和韓國愿意投資和升級廢棄的美國設(shè)施。
正文翻譯
US shipbuilders are non-competitive against dual-purpose shipbuilders from China, Japan, and Korea, who have multiple revenue streams that can finance new investment and best practices. For military ships, Denmark provides a recent case study of developing a best-in-class missile frigate at about a fourth the cost of the US Navy's latest-generation frigate.
US Navy officials are racing to close the gap with China, the world's number largest shipbuilder and now the largest navy, and hope Japan and Korea are willing to invest in and upgrade abandoned US facilities.
美國造船商與中國、日本和韓國的軍民兩用造船商相比沒有競爭力,因為這些公司擁有多種收入來源,可以為新投資和最佳實踐提供資金。對于軍艦,丹麥提供了一個最近的案例研究,該國開發(fā)了一艘同類最佳的導(dǎo)彈護衛(wèi)艦,其成本約為美國海軍最新一代護衛(wèi)艦的四分之一。
美國海軍官員正在競相縮小與中國——世界上最大的造船國和現(xiàn)在最大的海軍——的差距,并希望日本和韓國愿意投資和升級廢棄的美國設(shè)施。
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The USA's desperation is becoming embarrassing!
美國的絕望已經(jīng)令人尷尬了!
China's robust shipbuilding industry is dominating and outpacing the rest of the world. On the other hand, the US manufacturing capability is capped and crippled by its staggering costs.
中國強勁的造船業(yè)在全球占據(jù)主導(dǎo)地位,并遠遠超過其他地區(qū)。另一方面,美國制造能力卻因成本過高而受到限制和削弱。
America is freakin' going broke and we want to make shipyards?!?
America has lost its freakin mind.
美國快破產(chǎn)了,我們還要建造船廠????美國已經(jīng)失去理智了。
The master orders his two Asian lackeys to "share" their skills and technology, having them built his naval fleets and saved the U.S. shipyards. Later, he'll sanction South-Korean and Japanese shipyards for unfair competition.
主人命令他的兩個亞洲走狗“分享”他們的技能和技術(shù),讓他們建造他的海軍艦隊并拯救美國造船廠。隨后,他會因不公平競爭而制裁韓國和日本的造船廠。
Without the military industrial complex, America goes the way of Great Britain.
沒有軍事工業(yè)綜合體,美國就會走上英國的老路。
The problem with the US government, military & elites are not being genuine with anything that they are dealing with atm. Including the "Allies". Everyone is getting sick of the US' bullying
美國政府、軍隊和精英們的問題在于,他們目前所面對的一切都不夠真誠。包括“盟友”。每個人都厭倦了美國的欺凌
35 Trillion dollars... I remember when the debt was less than 1T before Regan, and everyone thought that was big and not sustainable....we are bankrupt country with a big mouth and high opinion of ourselves. Very dangerous.
35 萬億美元……我記得在里根執(zhí)政之前,債務(wù)不到 1 萬億美元,每個人都認為這太大了,不可持續(xù)……我們是一個破產(chǎn)的國家,嘴巴很大,自視甚高。非常危險。
Let that sink in. The country with the biggest military budget in the world cannot build ships. Lol . The joke of the century.
讓我們深思一下。世界上軍事預(yù)算最多的國家卻無法建造軍艦。哈哈。本世紀的笑話。
??USA, s Korea, Japan has aging population since 1990s! Who's going to build those ships! They can always contract Chinese COSCO!
美國、韓國、日本自 1990 年代以來人口老齡化!誰來建造這些船!他們可以一直與中國遠洋集團簽約。
"Making South Korea and Japan to open up subsidiaries in the US and transfer the technology..."
What sort of deal is it now? Higher cost to build, longer supply chain, and forced technology transfer to the US?
That's stupid deal for South Korea and Japan if you ask me.
“讓韓國、日本在美國開設(shè)子公司,轉(zhuǎn)讓技術(shù)……”
現(xiàn)在這是什么交易?建造成本更高、供應(yīng)鏈更長、強制技術(shù)轉(zhuǎn)讓給美國?
如果你問我,這對韓國和日本來說是愚蠢的交易。
A report from the U.S.A. : I was recently employed by a state agency in a maintenance & repair facility. 8 managers + 11 maintenance technicians. All of the managers made well over $100,000 per year with benefits. The eight managers together did on a good day one hour of work. All of the managers were drug addicts. The maintenance technicians did on average 2 hours per day of work max. The repair quality was horrible. 2/3 of the maintenance technicians were on drugs. Trust me, nothing in the U.S.A. can be fixed by the government. State of Arkansas.
來自美國的一份報告:我最近受雇于一家政府機構(gòu)的維護和維修設(shè)施。有 8 名經(jīng)理 + 11 名維護技術(shù)人員。所有經(jīng)理的年薪都超過 10 萬美元,還有福利。八名經(jīng)理一天的工作量最多為 1 小時。
所有經(jīng)理都是癮君子。維修技術(shù)人員平均每天最多工作 2 小時。維修質(zhì)量很差。2/3 的維修技術(shù)人員吸毒。相信我,美國沒有任何東西是政府可以解決的。阿肯色州。
This video is shadow banned on Facebook, by Facebook. IDK why.
該視頻被 Facebook 暗中禁止。我不知道為什么。
The problem is not finding skilled labor. The problem is willing to pay skilled labor what they are worth. In the US, Wall Street driven business decisions focus on maximizing profits to the extent they are no longer sharing the wealth with the laborers; instead they use the money that would improve the company to do stock buybacks and pay themselves 300 times more than anyone else. Compare this to China where the workers are improving their standard of living instead of going backwards.
問題不在于找到熟練勞動力,而在于是否愿意向熟練勞動力支付與其價值相符的報酬。在美國,華爾街的商業(yè)決策注重利潤最大化,以至于他們不再與勞動者分享財富;相反,他們用本來可以改善公司的錢來回購股票,給自己的報酬是其他人的 300 倍。相比之下,中國工人的生活水平正在提高,而不是倒退。
CHINA IS NOT THE PROBLEM CHILD !
中國不是問題兒童!
USA is so weird they can print money for ukraine, but they cant print money for their own shipyard
美國太奇怪了,他們可以為烏克蘭印鈔,卻不能為自己的造船廠印鈔
There is an easy solution for this. Print more Ships, like printing more US dollars.
有一個簡單的解決辦法。印制更多的船只,就像印制更多的美元一樣。
What is Japan and S. Korea getting from building shipyards, training people, building supply chains, etc?
I only see contributions by Japan and S. Korea, nothing from the USA. Is this supposed to be a thuggish demand or a charity case?
日本和韓國從建造造船廠、培訓(xùn)人員、建立供應(yīng)鏈等方面得到了什么?
我只看到日本和韓國的貢獻,沒有美國的貢獻。這應(yīng)該是暴徒的要求還是慈善案件?
原創(chuàng)翻譯:龍騰網(wǎng) http://mintwatchbillionaireclub.com 轉(zhuǎn)載請注明出處
China is making ships like they are making dumplings . Ain’t no way they can catch up even with the help from them
中國造船就像下餃子一樣,就算有韓日的幫助,他們也趕不上
Casting your mind back a few years, the US navy was taking bids on modernizing military port at Sevastopol and today, we see how that went. This also explains NATO's preoccupation with Crimea..
In a country that seems to lagging in so many crucial areas requiring engineering, you would think that education would be #1 priority. However the US has protected high tuitions and loan traps at a time when we need millions more highly educated people. An individual should be able to go as far as their grades can carry them. I'm wasting my breath....
回想幾年前,美國海軍正在競標塞瓦斯托波爾(位于克里米亞)的現(xiàn)代化軍港,今天,我們來看看進展如何。這也解釋了北約對克里米亞的關(guān)注。
在一個似乎在許多需要工程技術(shù)的關(guān)鍵領(lǐng)域落后的國家,你可能會認為教育應(yīng)該是頭等大事。然而,在我們需要數(shù)百萬受過高等教育的人的時候,美國卻保護了高昂的學(xué)費和貸款陷阱。一個人應(yīng)該是能夠達到他們成績所能達到的高度。我真是白費口舌……
原創(chuàng)翻譯:龍騰網(wǎng) http://mintwatchbillionaireclub.com 轉(zhuǎn)載請注明出處
Kevin, you’re brutally honest about the lunacies of the US government, not just about the shipping building industry but on every topic you cover on this channel.
The sad truth is that assessments like yours and from others with similar perspective will never get heard in the halls of Washington. You’ll be lucky if you don’t get accused of being a China stooge.
Having said that truth seekers like myself appreciate your tireless effort of telling it like it is.
Thank you and keep up the good work!
凱文,你對美國政府的瘋狂行為直言不諱,不僅僅是關(guān)于航運建造業(yè),而且關(guān)于你在這個頻道上報道的每一個話題。
可悲的事實是,像你這樣的評估,以及其他持有類似觀點的人的評估,永遠不會在華盛頓的大廳里被聽到。如果你沒有被指控為中國走狗,那你就很幸運了。
話雖如此,像我這樣的追求真相的人感謝您不懈地努力說出真相。
謝謝您,繼續(xù)努力!
India can help. Need anything demolished?
印度可以幫忙。需要拆除什么嗎?
I think it's slightly sad when your only "Allies" are those that you've sat army bases on their territory because of a war fought 70+ years ago.
我認為,當你唯一的“盟友”是那些因為 70 多年前的戰(zhàn)爭而在其領(lǐng)土上設(shè)立軍事基地的人時,這有點令人悲哀。
Why would both S.Korea and Japan build up US Shipping Building..... for what?
Charity??
Dream on.
Better ask the Philippines to help to to rebuild the US Shipping Building Industry or perhaps even better, India.
為什么韓國和日本都要建設(shè)美國航運業(yè).....為了什么?
慈善??
做夢吧。
最好要求菲律賓幫助重建美國航運業(yè),或者更好的是,要求印度幫助重建。
原創(chuàng)翻譯:龍騰網(wǎng) http://mintwatchbillionaireclub.com 轉(zhuǎn)載請注明出處
wierd how japan and s korea and china dont try harder to get along after all they are geo neighbours; asking japan and s korea to open shipbuilding facilities in the usa to help them out is the height of arrogance; the usa knows it is in trouble and whats weird is they cannot figure out how to fix themselves
奇怪的是,日本、韓國和中國畢竟是地緣鄰居,卻沒有努力和睦相處;要求日本和韓國在美國開設(shè)造船廠來幫助他們,這是傲慢的極致;美國知道自己有麻煩了,奇怪的是他們不知道如何自救
原創(chuàng)翻譯:龍騰網(wǎng) http://mintwatchbillionaireclub.com 轉(zhuǎn)載請注明出處
Keep pace? The u.s. will never catch up! It's way behind. China has the majority of ship building facilities in the world.
跟上?美國永遠追不上!它落后太多了。中國擁有世界上大多數(shù)的造船設(shè)施。
Sounds like a grim situation with no clear solution in sight
聽起來情況很嚴峻,而且看不到明確的解決方案
Remember the $7500 coffee maker?
The Air Force chose not to use commercial coffee makers like those used on 747’s. Instead they wanted a coffee maker which would not spill coffee if the plane was upside down
Critical question, will the USAF repair the coffee maker of throw it away? They chose to repair. That meant Lockheed had to design and build repair equipment?
Even more expensive, the decision to repair the coffee makers, meant a repair manual had to be written and published
The $7500 coffee maker a very expensive repair manual
還記得那臺價值 7500 美元的咖啡機嗎?
空軍選擇不使用 747 上使用的商用咖啡機。相反,他們想要一臺即使飛機倒置也不會灑出咖啡的咖啡機。
關(guān)鍵問題是,美國空軍會修理咖啡機還是將其扔掉?他們選擇修理。這意味著洛克希德必須設(shè)計和制造修理設(shè)備?
更昂貴的是,決定修理咖啡機意味著必須編寫和發(fā)布修理手冊,價值 7500 美元的咖啡機的修理手冊非常昂貴
I really wonder what our economy is based on. The list of things the US used to produce but no longer does is longer than my arm. 350 million people here, what are we actually doing?
我真的很想知道我們的經(jīng)濟是靠什么支撐的。美國過去生產(chǎn)但現(xiàn)在不再生產(chǎn)的東西的清單,比我的手臂還長。這里有 3.5 億人,我們到底在做什么?
Thank you, ones again, for your clear and insightful programs.
Not only knowledge.
Not only intressting topics.
Not only a view of a "world" that obviously contain so much and so many.
But also your respectful aprouch to both the peoples, the country and theire role in our worlds economy, as in all our lifes.
A sincere thank you from Europe, Sweden, Kiruna, and from me.
再次感謝你們清晰而富有洞察力的節(jié)目。
不僅僅是知識。
不僅僅是有趣的話題。
不僅僅是對顯然包含如此多內(nèi)容的“世界”的看法。
而且你們也尊重人民、國家以及他們在世界經(jīng)濟和我們所有人生活中所扮演的角色。
我代表歐洲、瑞典、基律納(瑞典北部城市)和我向你表示誠摯的感謝。
Again to see you Kevin the great。You absolutely right and thank you
再次見到你,凱文,你太棒了。你完全正確,謝謝你
just bloody great mate. so much appreciatee
真是太棒了,非常感謝
"Making South Korea and Japan to open up subsidiaries in the US and transfer the technology..."
That's stealing IP and jobs from the Koreans and Japanese!
“讓韓國和日本在美國開設(shè)子公司并轉(zhuǎn)讓技術(shù)……”
這是在竊取韓國和日本的知識產(chǎn)權(quán)和工作機會!
Why are we like this, smh.
我們?yōu)槭裁磿@樣
US no longer has a shipbuilding industry, and a very limited steel industry to supply it. Much of the US navy and support craft is very old (ancient).
美國不再擁有造船業(yè),鋼鐵業(yè)也非常有限。美國海軍和支援艦艇大多非常老舊。
So what does endless war do for a country, its people, limited resources and future opportunities?
那么無休止的戰(zhàn)爭會給一個國家、它的人民、有限的資源和未來的機會帶來什么影響呢?
Electric Boat in CT would go to technical high schools and recruit workers and then pay to train, 18 yr olds with good paying jobs, but that was before the craziness set in.
康涅狄格州的 電動船舶公司會去技術(shù)高中招募工人,然后出資培訓(xùn),為 18 歲的年輕人提供高薪工作,但那是在瘋狂開始之前。
I'm a 64 year old U.S. citizen. In mother's family their was 12 children. Eleven of them were government employees. The longer the siblings "Served Society" the higher the debt, inflation, crime and corruption would become. Government=debt, corruption, crime & decay. Yup, it's democracy.
我是一名 64 歲的美國公民。我母親家里有 12 個孩子。其中 11 個是政府雇員。兄弟姐妹“服務(wù)社會”的時間越長,債務(wù)、通貨膨脹、犯罪和腐敗就會越多。政府=債務(wù)、腐敗、犯罪和衰敗。是的,這就是民主。
What does Japan and Korea get out of it though? Shipyards will be in the US, US jobs, US owned ship yards, technology transfer to US, seems like everything is for the US to gain?
但日本和韓國從中得到了什么呢?造船廠將設(shè)在美國,美國有工作,美國擁有造船廠,技術(shù)轉(zhuǎn)讓給美國,似乎一切都是為了美國?
Absolutely love your content. Could you record sometimes showing in the background some of the amazing projects China has like a high speed train? It would be great to see more.
非常喜歡您的內(nèi)容。您能否錄制一些視頻,在背景中展示一些中國令人驚嘆的項目,比如高鐵?如果能看到更多就更好了。
The US doesn't have much of a shipbuilding industry, so investing more money in a sector that where the production capacity doesn't exist is meaningless.
They don't need other countries to invest money in building up US industries, they can create money out of thin air and put it in there.
The US forgets that having the world reserve currency does have its limitations, you cannot create unlimited money out of thin air and build real industries overnight.
美國造船業(yè)并不發(fā)達,因此在沒有生產(chǎn)能力的行業(yè)投入更多資金是沒有意義的。
他們不需要其他國家投資來建設(shè)美國工業(yè),他們可以憑空創(chuàng)造錢并將其投入其中。
美國忘記了,擁有世界儲備貨幣確實有其局限性,你不可能憑空創(chuàng)造出無限的貨幣并在一夜之間建立起真正的產(chǎn)業(yè)。
There are six cities in China whose greater area and total production exceeds all of Korea, a small country with no resources, very little land, and a similar population to canada albeit korea outperforms canada academically, and especially the US, an academically poor-performing country which is a fundamental cause of the rapid US decline.
中國有六個城市的面積和總產(chǎn)量超過了整個韓國,而韓國是一個沒有資源、土地很少、人口與加拿大相似的小國,盡管韓國在學(xué)術(shù)上勝過加拿大,尤其是勝過美國,而美國是一個學(xué)術(shù)表現(xiàn)較差的國家,這是美國迅速衰落的根本原因。
Japan and South Korea have the know how and capability to build and maintain warships for its master. the question is would the empire trust its colonies with potential lost of military technology?
日本和韓國擁有為其主人建造和維護軍艦的技術(shù)知識和能力。問題是,帝國會把軍事技術(shù)的潛在損失托付給殖民地嗎?
In the US, we don't have money for heath care, education, infrastructure or a host of other needs, but we can always print more money for deficit spending on an ever-increasing military budget - Until we can't!
With the national debt now souring over 35 Trillion Dollars and each individual citizen's part of that debt exceeding One Hundred Thousand Dollars for EACH man, woman and child in the country, it will never be paid down.
All the other countries in the world are realizing this reality and are rightfully moving away from the US Dollar as the world's reserve currency and moving away from the US Empire and hegemony to join BRICS for their own survival and there are more and more joining every day.
THIS IS HOW EMPIRES DIE!!
在美國,我們沒有錢用于醫(yī)療保健、教育、基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施或其他一系列需求,但我們總是可以印更多的錢來彌補不斷增加的軍事預(yù)算的赤字支出——直到我們不能這樣做!
現(xiàn)在國家債務(wù)已超過 35 萬億美元,而每個公民所欠債務(wù)超過十萬美元,無論男女老少,這些債務(wù)永遠都無法償還。
世界上所有其他國家都意識到了這一現(xiàn)實,并理所當然地放棄美元作為世界儲備貨幣,脫離美帝國和霸權(quán),加入金磚國家,以求生存,而且每天都有越來越多的國家加入。
這就是帝國滅亡的方式??!
Getting South Korea and Japan to train American workers and then sanction both of them once they acquired the skills
讓韓國和日本培訓(xùn)美國工人,然后在他們掌握技能后對兩國進行制裁
Is economics a study of scarcity or is it a study of supply and demand. Scarcity is a matter of not being able to control supply and demand.
經(jīng)濟學(xué)是研究稀缺性的,還是研究供給和需求的。稀缺性是指無法控制供給和需求。
Once again fantastic research and dissemination, you and the team should have at least 1 million followers.. Many thanks from Denmark.
Ps - I can recommend the Franciscan Ricard Rohr, (ex The Divine Dance or The Universal Christ)
再次,出色的研究和播報,你和你的團隊應(yīng)該至少有 100 萬粉絲。來自丹麥,非常感謝。
PS - 我可以推薦方濟各會的里卡德羅爾,(前《神圣之舞》或《普世基督》)
Actually economic is the study of the politics of allocating resources.
實際上經(jīng)濟學(xué)是研究資源配置的政治學(xué)。
What is the role of government. That the difference between US and China.
政府的作用是什么?這就是美國和中國的區(qū)別。
If ship building company was not profitable in the USA, could the Japanese or Korean company find their fortune in there ?
如果造船公司在美國不賺錢,那么日本、韓國的公司能在那里找到發(fā)財?shù)臋C會嗎?
You have quickly become one of the best presenters on YouTube, and one reason for it is that, unlike 95% of video bloggers, you do not pad your videos with superfluous information. You cut to the chase. A typical video on YouTube takes up the topic in its title about 40% into the video. Again, you cut to the chase from the git-go. Keep it up.
您很快就成為 YouTube 上最出色的主持人之一,原因之一是,與 95% 的視頻博主不同,您不會在視頻中添加多余的信息。您直奔主題。YouTube 上的典型視頻在標題中占據(jù)了約 40% 的話題。同樣,您從一開始就切入正題。堅持下去。
Yes, the Japanese and Korean can build ships much faster than us. However, if we ask those companies to build in USA, it will be loss in translation! It will be Americans being hired to do the job, it will take decades to develop the workforce and a culture change. Look at the TSMC fab being build in AZ, major indigestion going on. unx construction workers much slower than what the Taiwanese are used to back home. Can’t find enough skilled workers to staff the fab. The fastest and cheapest way to get it done right now is to commission the ships to be built in Japan and Korea until we have reached a certain numbers AND, at the same time, start to build shipyards back in USA. Two decades from now, we might develop a small expensive military ship building domestic industry
是的,日本和韓國建造船舶的速度比我們快得多。但是,如果我們要求這些公司在美國建造,轉(zhuǎn)換就會出現(xiàn)問題!我們將雇傭美國人來做這項工作,培養(yǎng)勞動力和文化變革將需要幾十年的時間。看看臺積電在亞利桑那州建造的工廠,情況嚴重惡化。工會建筑工人的速度比臺灣(地區(qū))人在家鄉(xiāng)習(xí)慣的速度慢得多。找不到足夠的熟練工人來為工廠配備人員。目前最快、最便宜的完成方法是委托日本和韓國建造艦船,直到達到一定數(shù)量,同時開始在美國建造造船廠。二十年后,我們可能會發(fā)展一個小型昂貴的國內(nèi)軍艦建造產(chǎn)業(yè)
Ultimately it all boils down to greed...
最終,一切都歸結(jié)于貪婪……
原創(chuàng)翻譯:龍騰網(wǎng) http://mintwatchbillionaireclub.com 轉(zhuǎn)載請注明出處
The crux of everything is where are the skilled workers and manufacturing and supply chain to aid the Shipbuilding industry in the US.
一切的關(guān)鍵在于哪里有技術(shù)工人以及制造和供應(yīng)鏈來協(xié)助美國造船業(yè)。
Kevin, apart from you impeccable analysis and lucid, but simple interpretation of complex economic issues, you have also inspired me to engage in more frequent and more meaningful prayer - God Bless
凱文,除了你對復(fù)雜經(jīng)濟問題的無可挑剔的分析和清晰而簡單的解釋之外,你還激勵我進行更頻繁、更有意義的祈禱——上帝保佑
原創(chuàng)翻譯:龍騰網(wǎng) http://mintwatchbillionaireclub.com 轉(zhuǎn)載請注明出處
Difference of today & 50 years ago is that in back then China was behind in technology. Today China is on par with US in technology. China wins because it has the tech, human resources, and also material resources.
今天和50年前的區(qū)別在于,當時中國在技術(shù)上落后。今天中國在技術(shù)上與美國不相上下。中國之所以獲勝,是因為它擁有技術(shù)、人力資源和物質(zhì)資源。
Heard about the consequences of the imbalances between corporate power and people power creating the current set of problems.
聽說企業(yè)權(quán)力和民眾權(quán)力之間的不平衡造成了當前一系列問題的后果。
US and allies are thinking more of making super profits from each other
美國及其盟友更多地考慮從彼此身上獲取巨額利潤
9:56 Is it not about spending lots of money? The Pentagon has consistently failed its annual audit for six years in a row, despite the massive undertaking trillion of dollars. Which wasn't a surprise.
9:56處 難道不是花了很多錢嗎?盡管花費了數(shù)萬億美元,但五角大樓連續(xù)六年未能通過年度審計。這并不奇怪。
In a globalized world, there is no need to take things too seriously. Outsourcing the manufacturing of ships and warships directly to China at a cost of only 20% to maximize profits is a win-win situation.
全球化的世界,沒必要太過嚴肅,把船舶、軍艦的制造直接外包給中國,成本只有20%,利潤最大化,是雙贏的局面。
Japan: Yeah, we could build ships in US like Boeing build 738 Max.
日本:是的,我們可以在美國建造船舶,就像波音建造 738 Max 一樣。
原創(chuàng)翻譯:龍騰網(wǎng) http://mintwatchbillionaireclub.com 轉(zhuǎn)載請注明出處
It is true that the US does have a lot of mothballed shipyards. But bringing them up to modern standards and equipping them, hiring the people (if there are even enough qualified people) and create the entire supply chain to reactivate these shipyards is a pipe dream. If the US can't even muster the organization, resources, capital to even re-scale their semiconductor industry up to match even a fraction of that China has, then what credential do they have to say they can do the same for these shipyards to match the capacity of China? At a lower cost, since they want to copy China's model of dual use for civilian and military? Fat chance.
確實,美國有很多停工的造船廠。但讓它們達到現(xiàn)代標準,配備設(shè)備,雇傭員工(如果有足夠的合格人員的話)并建立整個供應(yīng)鏈以重新啟用這些造船廠,這都是白日夢。如果美國甚至無法召集組織、資源和資本來重新擴大其半導(dǎo)體產(chǎn)業(yè),使其達到中國水平的一小部分,那么他們有什么資格說他們可以讓這些造船廠達到中國水平?以更低的成本,因為他們想復(fù)制中國的軍民兩用模式?機會渺茫。
這是因為中國甚至還沒有充分利用其整個造船業(yè)的產(chǎn)能來建造軍艦。如果中國認真起來,愿意承受經(jīng)濟打擊將民用船舶訂單轉(zhuǎn)換為軍艦訂單,那么他們就能以比現(xiàn)在快幾倍的速度生產(chǎn)軍艦。他們現(xiàn)在的軍艦建造速度已經(jīng)超過了美國、日本和韓國。
This is not even a contest.
如果中國真的認真的話,美國、韓國、日本甚至歐洲能造出的每一艘船,中國都能造出一打。假設(shè)西方國家沒有因為與中國和世界完全脫鉤的經(jīng)濟災(zāi)難而崩潰,那么到西方集體組建一支艦隊入侵中國的時候,中國將建立10倍于西方的艦隊。對于西方可以裝在垂直發(fā)射系統(tǒng)上的每一枚反導(dǎo)導(dǎo)彈,中國可以制造并發(fā)射20枚反艦導(dǎo)彈。
這根本就稱不上是比賽。