"比希臘更糟"：日本的債務(wù)是否瀕臨崩潰點(diǎn)？

 
 
When inflation ticked up a few years ago, it brought anxiety to many governments - except for Japan who hoped to use the slightly higher inflation to get out of its zero-growth slump. But, that seems to have backfired, so, in this video, we're taking a look at the Japanese economy, the debt crisis and what could happen next.
 
數(shù)年前通脹初現(xiàn)時(shí)，多數(shù)政府感到憂慮，唯獨(dú)日本期待借助溫和通脹擺脫零增長(zhǎng)困境。但事與愿違，本期視頻將剖析日本經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)狀、債務(wù)危機(jī)及可能的后續(xù)發(fā)展。
 

@zeroyuki92
As a non economist, it feels like the outcome of government chasing good numbers instead of focusing on producing actual value
 
作為非經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)專業(yè)人士，這似乎是政府追逐漂亮數(shù)據(jù)而非創(chuàng)造實(shí)際價(jià)值的結(jié)果。
 
@rkace155
You see, this is why lack of immigration is a problem for politicians. When there are no immigrants to blame, the politicians actually have to take the blame!
 
這正是移民短缺成為政客難題的原因。當(dāng)沒(méi)有移民可指責(zé)時(shí)，政客們就不得不承擔(dān)罪責(zé)了！
 
@BZAKether
As the economists' "joke" says: There are 4 kinds of countries: developed countries, developing countries, Argentina, and Japan.
 
正如經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家的"笑話"所說(shuō)：世界上有四類國(guó)家——發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家、發(fā)展中國(guó)家、阿根廷，以及日本。
 
@GlowingRoseDoesGeo
LDP: "We aren't managing the economy well"
Japanese Voterbase: "But we'll vote for you anyway!"
 
自民黨："我們沒(méi)有把經(jīng)濟(jì)管理好"。
日本選民："但我們照樣會(huì)投票給你！"
 
@mayafortin5993
Japan's debt situation definitely looks alarming—worse than Greece is a scary comparison. With such massive national debt, it feels like the country could be on the edge of a serious crisis that might impact global markets. But honestly, as someone trying to understand this better, I'm not sure what this means for everyday people or how we should prepare. If anyone has clear insights or practical advice on what this could mean and how to protect ourselves financially, I'd really appreciate the help. It's confusing and honestly overwhelming
 
日本的債務(wù)狀況確實(shí)令人擔(dān)憂——"比希臘更糟"這種比較很可怕。如此龐大的國(guó)債讓人感覺(jué)這個(gè)國(guó)家可能正處在會(huì)沖擊全球市場(chǎng)的嚴(yán)重危機(jī)的邊緣。但說(shuō)實(shí)話，作為試圖理解這個(gè)問(wèn)題的人，我不確定這對(duì)普通人意味著什么，也不知道該如何準(zhǔn)備。如果有人能提供清晰的見(jiàn)解或?qū)嵱玫慕ㄗh，說(shuō)明這可能造成什么影響以及如何在財(cái)務(wù)上自我保護(hù)，我將非常感激。這真的很令人困惑，坦白說(shuō)也很讓人不知所措。
 
@Eggmancan
You use the word "stagflationary" several times to describe Japan's past economy, but stagflation refers to an economy with high inflation but low growth. Japan's problem was that inflation was LOW, it was a deflationary economy. You guys are generally good about economics, so I was surprised but this mistake.
 
你們多次用"滯脹"形容日本過(guò)去的經(jīng)濟(jì)，但滯脹指的是高通脹伴隨低增長(zhǎng)。日本的問(wèn)題恰恰是通脹過(guò)低，屬于通縮型經(jīng)濟(jì)。你們通常對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)問(wèn)題分析得很到位，所以這個(gè)錯(cuò)誤讓我很意外。
 
@antonio_fosnjar
The situation is even worse when you consider that China has started to chip at Japans exports, specially at car market which is a sizeable chunk of GDP and employment.
 
考慮到中國(guó)已經(jīng)開(kāi)始蠶食日本的出口市場(chǎng)，尤其是占GDP和就業(yè)相當(dāng)比重的汽車領(lǐng)域，情況就更嚴(yán)峻了。
 
@ShikiByakko
It is all a policy problem.
The problem in Japan for decades now has been that there is no way for small companies to grow, and the government, SINCE THE 90'S, has maintained "too big to fail" companies out of trouble, and they have become "zombie corporations", that just waste money and do not care because they will get saved by the goverment.
On the regulatory side, Japan is worse than even the EU, and they constantly add new regulation to new and edge technologies, that basically kills any real development of these technologies by small companies, meaning that only big companies can do anything in the country, but they just don't since the only real competition that they feel is from outside Japan, and they are now so out of touch that they are just trying to survive instead of innovate.
The whole "deflation" thing was the symptom, not the cause of Japan's economic woes.
The fact that decades of extravagant monetary policy did absolutely nothing kind of shows this to be the fact.
 
這都是政策問(wèn)題造成的。
幾十年來(lái)日本的癥結(jié)在于中小企業(yè)無(wú)法成長(zhǎng)，而政府從上世紀(jì)90年代起就持續(xù)救助"大而不能倒"的企業(yè)，這些"僵尸企業(yè)"只會(huì)浪費(fèi)資金且毫不在意，因?yàn)樗鼈兛偰塬@得來(lái)自政府的紓困。
在監(jiān)管方面日本比歐盟更嚴(yán)苛，他們不斷對(duì)新興技術(shù)增設(shè)新規(guī)，這在實(shí)質(zhì)上扼殺了中小企業(yè)對(duì)這些技術(shù)的實(shí)際開(kāi)發(fā)，這意味著只有大企業(yè)才能在國(guó)內(nèi)有所作為，但它們毫無(wú)作為，因?yàn)樗鼈兾ㄒ荒芨惺艿降母?jìng)爭(zhēng)來(lái)自國(guó)外，如今它們與現(xiàn)實(shí)嚴(yán)重脫節(jié)，只顧生存而非創(chuàng)新。
所謂"通縮"只是表象，而非日本經(jīng)濟(jì)困境的根源。
數(shù)十年來(lái)激進(jìn)的貨幣政策毫無(wú)成效恰恰證明了這一點(diǎn)。
 
@AA-ux6gg
I'm Japanese, but this guy only said that because he doesn't want to lower the consumption tax. He'll probably lose to the tax-cutting DPFP in the July election
Idk maybe we'll get to see Japan's own Liz Truss shock, but since this channel is run by a British person, this joke might be pretty funny lol
 
我是日本人，但這個(gè)家伙說(shuō)這些只是不想降低消費(fèi)稅。七月的大選他很可能敗給主張減稅的民主黨。
說(shuō)不定我們能看到日本版的"特拉斯危機(jī)"，不過(guò)既然這是英國(guó)人的頻道，這個(gè)玩笑可能挺有意思。
 
@paulm2467
The biggest difference is that Japanese debt is owned by the Japanese public so it isn't susceptible to international pressure, the US debt is enormous and growing fast and about 20% of it is owned by foreign governments, this means that the probable loss of reserve currency status is going to put massive pressure on the USA as it won't be able to service its debts.
 
最大區(qū)別在于日本的債務(wù)由國(guó)民持有，不受國(guó)際壓力的影響，而美國(guó)的債務(wù)龐大且快速增長(zhǎng)，約20%由外國(guó)政府持有，這意味著如果失去儲(chǔ)備貨幣地位，美國(guó)將因無(wú)力償債而承受巨大的壓力。
 
@banished341
Who would have guessed that:
A %200+ Debt is impossible to service.
Inflation as a result of price hikes on necessities like food and fuel doesn't spur growth (because they're necessary to live)
A nation of seniors (which Japan is) can't be jolted into becoming a consumption-driven economy.
As a mathematician, it boggles my mind how dumb "smart people with PhDs" can be when it comes to storytelling from numbers.
 
誰(shuí)能想到：
200%以上的債務(wù)根本無(wú)法償還。
食品燃料等必需品漲價(jià)帶來(lái)的通脹不會(huì)刺激增長(zhǎng)（因?yàn)檫@些都是生存必需品）。
老齡化國(guó)家（如日本）無(wú)法被刺激成消費(fèi)驅(qū)動(dòng)型經(jīng)濟(jì)。
作為數(shù)學(xué)家，這些"聰明博士"用數(shù)據(jù)講故事時(shí)的愚蠢程度令我震驚。
 
@taraldomland8657
Japans problems started when America forced them to upvalue the yen and to buy more American. Japan should try to reverse this. Think about themselfs and not so much their alliance. Japan actually really need to just reboost their economy
 
日本的問(wèn)題始于美國(guó)強(qiáng)迫日元升值和購(gòu)買更多美國(guó)貨。日本應(yīng)該設(shè)法扭轉(zhuǎn)這種情況，多考慮自身而非盟友。日本現(xiàn)在真正需要的是重振經(jīng)濟(jì)。
 
@Nick-tb3cl
This video is misleading. It should also mention that Japan holds the largest net external assets in the world. Of course, it's true that the country faces serious fiscal challenges, but that doesn't tell the whole story.
 
這個(gè)視頻有誤導(dǎo)性。它應(yīng)該提到日本持有全球最大的凈外部資產(chǎn)，當(dāng)然該國(guó)確實(shí)面臨嚴(yán)峻的財(cái)政挑戰(zhàn)，但這并非全貌。
 
@dominikmankowski1636
It is not worse than Greece's debt. The vast majority of Japan's debt is internal, owed to Japanese citizens. The Japanese government can print money at any time (while simultaneously increasing inflation) to repay it. Greece, on the other hand, had (and still has) most of its debt owed to foreign entities (mainly German banks), and since it is in the eurozone, it cannot print its own money.
 
情況不比希臘更糟。日本的債務(wù)絕大部分是內(nèi)債，是欠本國(guó)公民的。政府隨時(shí)可以印鈔償還（同時(shí)會(huì)推升通脹）。而希臘的債務(wù)主要是欠外國(guó)實(shí)體的（主要是德國(guó)的銀行），而且因其身處歐元區(qū)而無(wú)法自行印鈔。
 
@ShelleyWerk
Unfortunately, not all of us were financially literate early. I was 35 when I finally educated myself and started taking steps. I went from $176,000 in debt with zero savings or retirement to now, 2 years later, fully debt-free and over $1000,000 net worth. I know that doesn't SOUND like a lot, but I'm incredibly proud of it. Now I'm fast-tracking my wealth building (investing $400,000 annually) and don't owe a dime to anyone. It's a good feeling!..
 
遺憾的是并非所有人都早早具備理財(cái)意識(shí)。我35歲才自學(xué)并采取行動(dòng)，從負(fù)債17.6萬(wàn)美元且零存款零退休金，到兩年后完全無(wú)債且凈資產(chǎn)超100萬(wàn)美元。雖然我知道這聽(tīng)起來(lái)不多，但我非常自豪。現(xiàn)在我正加速財(cái)富積累（年投資40萬(wàn)美元）且不欠任何人一分錢(qián)。這感覺(jué)真好！
 
@tobiwan001
The US also had a 20y bond yield auction yesterday that was so weak it almost failed. That led to another spike in the 20y yield (above 5.2%). It's likely the FED will have to intervene in the US bond market to save the dollar, before Trump starts flirting with default.
 
美國(guó)昨日20年期國(guó)債拍賣需求疲軟幾乎流標(biāo)，這導(dǎo)致20年期國(guó)債收益率再次飆升（超5.2%）。在特朗普開(kāi)始玩弄違約念頭前，美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)可能不得不干預(yù)債市以拯救美元。
 
@paul1979uk2000
I think the main problem with Japan is there secret nature as a country compared to western countries which are far more open.
Japan had the advantage until the 90's because Japan jumped on the tech train before western countries did, but in the 90's, we had a tech boom that both North America and Europe jumped on, it wiped out the advantage Japan has had and Japan have been struggling ever since and it's just simple things from slow adoption to the internet because it's a western tech.
What really surprises me is that this has been going on for 35 years and you would think that Japan would do some major policy changes to kick-start its economy, but it's struggling ever since and things would have been worse for Japan if it wasn't for the economic boom in the Asian region which has a knock on effect on boosting growth on nearby countries.
Personally, I think Japan is going to continue to sink compared to its rivals in the region unless drastic changes are done at a political and economic level and considering little has changed over 35 years, it doesn't bold well for the future of Japan.
 
我認(rèn)為日本主要問(wèn)題在于其封閉性，這與高度開(kāi)放的西方國(guó)家形成了對(duì)比。
因其比西方更早搭上科技快車，日本的優(yōu)勢(shì)持續(xù)到了上世紀(jì)90年代。但上世紀(jì)90年代歐美迎來(lái)了科技繁榮，直接抹平了日本的優(yōu)勢(shì)。此后日本連互聯(lián)網(wǎng)這種西方技術(shù)都接受遲緩，最終陷入了困境。
最令我驚訝的是這種情況持續(xù)了35年卻未見(jiàn)重大的政策調(diào)整來(lái)振興經(jīng)濟(jì)。若非亞洲經(jīng)濟(jì)繁榮對(duì)周邊國(guó)家的帶動(dòng)作用，日本的處境會(huì)更糟。
個(gè)人認(rèn)為除非進(jìn)行政治經(jīng)濟(jì)層面的徹底改革，否則日本將繼續(xù)落后于地區(qū)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手?？紤]到他們35年來(lái)幾無(wú)變革，其前景不容樂(lè)觀。
 
@pawelzybulskij3367
Even if Japanese bonds turn into junk and Yen collapses, Japan still has about a trillion of US treasures to burn through to prop up current level of services, only after that, they would have to turn to IMF and become Argentinian style economy and decline to the same standards o living.
 
即便日本債券淪為垃圾級(jí)、日元崩潰，日本仍有約萬(wàn)億美債可消耗來(lái)維持現(xiàn)有的服務(wù)水平。只有耗盡這些儲(chǔ)備后，它才需要向IMF求助，淪為阿根廷式的經(jīng)濟(jì)并降低生活標(biāo)準(zhǔn)。
 
@fernbedek6302
Japan shows that, once you're a developed nation with good living standards, if you have low inflation you don't need economic growth. Capitalists complained, but their living standards remained high for the actual people. (They had other issues, but a lot of those predated the economic stagnation.) Considering we're on a world with a finite amount of resources more countries should try to follow the Japanese model, rather than trying to pull Japan out of its stability.
 
日本證明：當(dāng)成為生活水平高的發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家后，只要保持低通脹就無(wú)需經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)。資本家雖有怨言，但民眾的生活水平依然很高（日本確有其他問(wèn)題，但多數(shù)早于經(jīng)濟(jì)停滯出現(xiàn)）?？紤]到地球的資源有限，更多國(guó)家應(yīng)該效仿日本模式，而非試圖將日本拉出穩(wěn)定狀態(tài)。
 
@BigBoiiLeem
Japan does not and has not had "stagflation". I heard that term used a few times. Stagflation is stagnation coupled with persistently above-average inflation (like what America experienced in the 70s). What Japan is experiencing is an entirely different and completely Japanese economic phenomenon.
 
日本從未出現(xiàn)"滯脹"，我聽(tīng)到過(guò)幾次對(duì)這個(gè)詞的誤用。滯脹是經(jīng)濟(jì)停滯并伴隨持續(xù)高于平均的通脹（如美國(guó)上世紀(jì)70年代的經(jīng)歷）。日本經(jīng)歷的是完全不同的、獨(dú)有的經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)象。
 
@Muhammad_Ahmad_
I don't understand why Japan wants to have a "normal" economy, even though growth is weak, inflation is also low enough that wage growth isn't much of an issue for Japanese people, immigration is also low therefore easing the pressure on housing, Japan doesn't have a cost of living crisis the way other western nations do, they should have just stuck with what they're used to
 
我不懂日本為何追求"正常的"經(jīng)濟(jì)——他們的增長(zhǎng)雖弱但通脹極低，這使得薪資問(wèn)題不突出，低移民緩解了住房壓力，也沒(méi)有其他西方國(guó)家的生活成本危機(jī)。他們本應(yīng)維持習(xí)慣的模式。
 
@ThomasLuke-u3v
Well, to be honest, politicians decrease debt through inflation. Then we end up with currencies with a whole lot of zeros on it. Back just 30 years ago $1 million was something now everyone that owns a house in Canada is a millionaire.
 
說(shuō)實(shí)話，政客們通過(guò)通脹稀釋債務(wù)，最終會(huì)導(dǎo)致貨幣面值多出許多零。30年前100萬(wàn)美元很了不起，但現(xiàn)在加拿大的每個(gè)房主都是百萬(wàn)富翁。
 
@ichifish
The problem with your 5% wage increase at "large companies" statistic is that it isn't representative of the larger economy, as it accounts for maybe 30% of jobs. Most of us did not get a wage increase, and instead got hammered by the 12% decline in the value of the yen between 2022-2025, along with inflation. Japan imports 60% of its food, so a weak yen really hits home. Doesn't help that JA makes commodities like rice artificially high in order to siphon money off of families to buy farmer's votes for their politicians. People are pissed, and not like ideologically-addled Americans, we're pissed because basic necessities are too costly. Imagine paying the exact same amount for basic needs for close to two decades, while wages remain the same, and suddenly food costs jump by 30% in a couple of years. Now Trump's tariffs are about to push us over the edge into a full-on recession.
 
你們統(tǒng)計(jì)的"大企業(yè)"的5%的漲薪不具有代表性，因?yàn)檫@只覆蓋了約30%的崗位。多數(shù)人沒(méi)有漲薪，反而遭受了2022-2025年間日元貶值12%和通脹的雙重打擊。日本60%的食品依賴進(jìn)口，日元疲軟影響巨大。更糟的是農(nóng)協(xié)人為抬高大米等商品的價(jià)格，從家庭吸血換取農(nóng)民對(duì)政客的選票。日本民眾的憤怒不同于美國(guó)人的意識(shí)形態(tài)狂熱，我們憤怒是因?yàn)榛A(chǔ)生活物資太貴。想象一下近二十年基本生活支出不變、工資停滯，突然幾年內(nèi)食品價(jià)格暴漲30%會(huì)是什么樣子?，F(xiàn)在特朗普的關(guān)稅政策即將把我們推入全面的衰退。
 
@Ken52172
PM Ishiba has made totally a wrong statement. Japan's situation is very different from Greece. One cannot compare only by the debt to GDP ratio. Bonds are issued in JPY. BOJ has been purchasing these bonds, and interest earnings are eventually returned to the government. It can be sustainable as long as the inflation rate is not too high.
 
石破首相的言論是完全錯(cuò)誤的。日本的情況與希臘截然不同，不能僅憑債務(wù)/GDP比率來(lái)比較。日本國(guó)債以日元發(fā)行，央行持續(xù)購(gòu)債且利息收益最終回流政府。只要通脹率不過(guò)高，這種模式就可以持續(xù)。
 
@Tamavia-y6q
You work for 42yrs to have $2m in your retirement, Meanwhile some people are putting just $20k in a meme coin for just few months and now they are multi millionaires I pray that anyone who reads this will be successful in life
 
有人工作42年攢200萬(wàn)美元退休金，同時(shí)另一些人花2萬(wàn)美元買 meme幣幾個(gè)月就成了千萬(wàn)富翁。愿讀到這段話的人都人生成功。
 
@williamjacobs
Japan's debt is NOT worse than Greece and won't be. Greece is chained to the euro and does not control its own economy. They should reintroduce the drachma as a competing currency just like the pound sterling used to in the UK to provide flexibility with fiscal stimulus.
 
日本的債務(wù)不比希臘更糟，未來(lái)也不會(huì)。希臘受歐元束縛無(wú)法自主掌控經(jīng)濟(jì)，他們應(yīng)該像英國(guó)保留英鎊那樣重新啟用德拉克馬作為競(jìng)爭(zhēng)性貨幣以獲得財(cái)政刺激的靈活性。
 
@stephenmark-q1b-w3y
This will end ugly you say. But every crash brings with it an equivalent market chance if you are early informed and equipped. I've seen folks amass up to $1m amid crash, and even pull it off easily in favorable conditions. Unequivocally, the bubble/collapse is getting somebody somewhere rich.
 
你說(shuō)結(jié)局會(huì)很糟，但每次崩盤(pán)都伴隨對(duì)提前準(zhǔn)備者的機(jī)遇。我見(jiàn)過(guò)有人在危機(jī)中賺取百萬(wàn)美元，在有利條件下甚至輕松達(dá)成。毫無(wú)疑問(wèn)，泡沫/崩潰正讓某些人暴富。
 
@cyrusol
Just 1 minute in and I already can't describe how stupid this is.
The PM, following an ideology that is based on a complete lack of understanding about state finances publically badmouthes the creditworthiness of his own government when the entire idea of having to pay interest rate as a government is artificially engineered because of that ideology...
Jesus Christ. And that with Japan doing relatively well despite their numbers in the past 20 years - which should have been convincing enough that the "extraordinary" policies employed by Japan and the BoJ that contradicted "mainstream wisdeom" about state finances were sound and legit.
PS: Japan's GDP and related figures only looked bad post 2000 because of exchange rates against the USD worsening. The same figures in JPY looked quite well and since imports made up about 20-25% of GDP (exports are comparable) and households spending less than that on imported goods the reality for Japanese people looked much better between 2000 and 2025 than alls those figures denoted in USD suggest.
 
開(kāi)場(chǎng)1分鐘我就被這種愚蠢震驚了。
首相遵循一套完全不懂國(guó)家財(cái)政的意識(shí)形態(tài)，公開(kāi)貶低政府信用評(píng)級(jí)——而"政府需要支付利息"這個(gè)概念本身就是該意識(shí)形態(tài)人為制造的...
天啊。過(guò)去20年日本的實(shí)際表現(xiàn)相對(duì)良好，這本應(yīng)足以證明其違背"主流智慧"的特殊政策是合理有效的。
注：2000年后日本的GDP等數(shù)據(jù)看似糟糕，但這只是因?yàn)槿赵獌睹涝H值。如果以日元計(jì)這些數(shù)據(jù)相當(dāng)不錯(cuò)，且因進(jìn)口僅占GDP的20-25%（出口比例相似）、家庭進(jìn)口商品支出更少，2000-2025年間日本民眾的實(shí)際境況比美元數(shù)據(jù)顯示的好得多。
 
@lorenzo1988ITA
The problem with TLDR is that, after puttin a catchy clickbait question in the title, the videos are then vague and not straight to the point (and sometimes even worse not at all adressing the question)
 
長(zhǎng)話短說(shuō)，這個(gè)頻道的問(wèn)題是：標(biāo)題用吸引眼球的問(wèn)題，而視頻的內(nèi)容卻含糊其辭，不切要害（有時(shí)甚至完全不回答問(wèn)題）。
 
@lucapieralisi
The major problem for Japan is not the debt especially because most of it is held by Japan itself, ie the CBJ, local banks and companies.
The only problem for Japan is that at the pace the country is losing its people - around 600k every year since some time now - there is not going to be a Japan/Japanese by mid century or the Japanese left will be well over 70 years old.
As a former Japanese prime minister warned, if this population trend will continue, the country will stop working as a organized society...
 
日本的主要問(wèn)題不是債務(wù)——尤其因大部分債務(wù)由央行、地方銀行和企業(yè)持有。
日本真正的問(wèn)題是人口流失速度——近年來(lái)每年約減少60萬(wàn)人，照此趨勢(shì)到本世紀(jì)中葉或?qū)o(wú)日本民族存續(xù)，剩下的日本人也都會(huì)超70歲。
正如某位前首相警告：若人口趨勢(shì)持續(xù)，日本將無(wú)法維持有組織的社會(huì)運(yùn)轉(zhuǎn)...
 
@andreasarnoalthofsobottka2928
There must be a reason why no gouvernment on earth ever chose the easy and obvious way out of fiscal trouble: tax the rich and corporations; stop spending on pet- projects and the military.
 
全球政府都不會(huì)選擇最直接簡(jiǎn)單的財(cái)政困境解決方案（向富豪和企業(yè)征稅；停止政績(jī)工程和軍費(fèi)開(kāi)支），其中必有緣由。
 
@SophiaSchmidt-w4w
If banks and big institutions are pulling back, regular people like us will feel it soon. job cuts, rising debt, and shrinking investments. I already lost money in the market last year, and now I'm wondering how to protect what's left.
 
如果銀行和大機(jī)構(gòu)撤資，我們普通人很快就會(huì)受到影響：裁員、債務(wù)增加、投資萎縮。去年我在市場(chǎng)上虧損嚴(yán)重，現(xiàn)在只想知道如何保住剩余的資產(chǎn)。
 
@ECOpocket
Japan has always been somewhat restrained by the US and, to some extent, they've been okay with that. But maybe now is the time for Japan to take matters into its own hands and save itself.
 
日本始終受到美國(guó)的制約，某種程度上也安于現(xiàn)狀，但或許現(xiàn)在應(yīng)該自立更生了。
 
@Student-m4f
I believe Japan will overcome it. The nation has a long history of adapting to structural and economic challenges through innovation, social cohesion, and policy shifts. Despite the alarming debt-to-GDP ratio, Japan maintains strong institutional trust, domestic debt ownership, and a technologically advanced economy. These factors provide a foundation for sustainable restructuring, even if painful reforms in taxation, social spending, and labor policy become unavoidable.
 
我相信日本能度過(guò)難關(guān)。這個(gè)國(guó)家歷來(lái)通過(guò)創(chuàng)新、社會(huì)凝聚力和政策調(diào)整來(lái)應(yīng)對(duì)結(jié)構(gòu)性經(jīng)濟(jì)挑戰(zhàn)。盡管債務(wù)/GDP比率驚人，但日本保有強(qiáng)大的制度信任度、債務(wù)內(nèi)循環(huán)體系和先進(jìn)的技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)。即便必須進(jìn)行稅收、社保和勞工政策的痛苦改革，這些也都為可持續(xù)的重組奠定了基礎(chǔ)。
 
@tortoisewarrior4855
I remember everyone saying that we should all go down Japans route, strong welfare state zero immigration, and I just show them this, and they kind of deny it's even a problem. It's an economic time bomb.
 
記得大家都說(shuō)該效仿日本模式——高福利，零移民，當(dāng)我給他們看這些數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)，他們卻矢口否認(rèn)存在問(wèn)題。這根本就是經(jīng)濟(jì)定時(shí)炸彈。
 
@I_like_YT_lots
I think one way Japan can help stimulate its economy is by welcoming immigration. It is well known is super hard to move there unless you have sponsorships with work. The aging population and low birth rate (although is similar in a lot of developed countries) is going to make the country less productive in future years. History had shown immigration helps to revive country, they just need to ensure to help immigrats intergate to the sophisticated Japanese culture but at the same time educating local citizens to welcome some form of diversity. The quickest way is allow skilled labour in a scoring type system to immigrate there while welcome foreign companies to base there rather than say Singapore.
 
日本刺激經(jīng)濟(jì)的一個(gè)方法是開(kāi)放移民。眾所周知除非有工作擔(dān)保，否則極難移民日本。老齡化與低生育率（雖在發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家普遍）將導(dǎo)致未來(lái)的生產(chǎn)力下降。歷史證明移民能振興國(guó)家，只需確保幫助移民融入精密的日本文化，同時(shí)教育國(guó)民接受多樣性即可。最快的途徑是建立積分制引進(jìn)技術(shù)勞工并吸引外企落戶。